A gradual warm up is in store as fall continues to refuse to grace us with its presence. Less cool nights and warmer days will be the norm with no rain in sight. My lawn is officially dead and so is my lawncare business – with no lawns to mow with the grass no longer growing unless it is watered heavily. They will soon be talking about our drought in all the weather related outlets no doubt as tropical weather mania fades as the season for such ends.
We had some convection erupt over central Alabama yesterday that caught all the weather guessers by surprise. Even a few strong storms bubbled up near Birmingham. This perplexed me as well as the humidity and dewpoint levels were so low – not much moisture in the atmosphere to work with. Must have been some instability in the upper level atmosphere to cause it. These kind of things can only be caught with weather balloons and atmospheric sounding, and not computer weather models.
The long range forecast looks pretty grim for us weather fans it seems, or our lawns for that matter. No rain or interesting weather in sight. Our only hope is a tropical system forming in the central gulf and moving into the Southern states. The jet stream is centered across the northern tier of states with a very predominant high centered over the Southern gulf states. This is keeping cold fronts from entering the South. This is also steering all Cape Verde tropical storms away from the mainland.
Current Weather…
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Weather Around the Country From The Weather Channel…
Northeast | View Regional Video
A storm system rolls through the region today and tonight spreading a wide swath of rain, showers and thunderstorms. Through the first half of the day the rain should fall in central and western sections of New York and Pennsylvania, western Maryland and West Virginia. This afternoon the precipitation marches eastward reaching all areas except southern and eastern Virginia.
Some of the thunderstorms could become severe in western Pennsylvania and West Virginia producing damaging wind gusts and some hail.
High temperatures should be held in the 60s to middle 70s in New England, New York, all but southeastern Pennsylvania, western Maryland and northern West Virginia. Elsewhere temperatures should climb into the upper 70s to upper 80s. A few areas in eastern Virginia could top the 90-degree mark.
The storm continues its eastward journey tonight spreading locally heavy rain and thunderstorms through New England, eastern New York, eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Light showers and a few thundershowers are possible in central and western New York, central and western Pennsylvania, western Maryland and West Virginia.
Midwest | View Regional Video
A storm system departs eastern parts of the region by this evening. Rain, showers and thunderstorms are expected in the Great Lakes, eastern Ohio Valley and eastern Kentucky from the storm.
Some of the thunderstorms could turn severe this afternoon in central and eastern Ohio and eastern Kentucky producing damaging wind gusts, hail and possibly an isolated tornado.
Another system brings showers and some thunderstorms to North Dakota this afternoon and evening. None of those storms is expected to become severe.
The remainder of the region should have a mix of clouds and sun and remain dry.
High temperatures should hold in the upper 50s to upper 60s in North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa and northern Illinois. High temperatures should reach the 70s to very low 80s over the remainder of the region.
West | View Regional Video
Showers are expected along the Northwest coast, in eastern Washington, northern Idaho and the northern half of Montana today. Several systems rotating around a big storm in the Gulf of Alaska are responsible for the murky weather today.
A wave of steadier and heavier showers is expected in northwestern California, western Oregon and western Washington later this afternoon through the evening hours. A third wave of rain is forecast to reach those same areas Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.
Afternoon and evening thunderstorms are anticipated in southern New Mexico today and in southwestern New Mexico and eastern Arizona tomorrow. A few of the thunderstorms in northeast New Mexico could produce strong winds and some hail this afternoon and early evening.
The remainder of the region should be dry both days.
High temperatures range from the 60s and 70s in Montana, western parts of Washington and Oregon and along the California coast to a 100 to 110 degree range in the deserts today.
Much cooler air moves into northern Montana tonight and Friday keeping high temperatures mostly in the 40s and 50s Friday afternoon.
The Tropics…
I am about tropic’ed out – growing bored with tropical weather. All these storms which all the weather websites are obsessing over are no threat whatsoever to the U.S. mainland. I want weather that is applicable to me and my life – not swirling storms in the central Atlantic only dangerous to shipping lanes and lone islands. Just to be true to weather blog form and going with the crowd, here are the storms and their predicted tracks…
Hurricane Igor
Hurricane Julia
Tropical Storm Karl
